АТМОСФЕРНЫЕ ОСАДКИ В КРЫМУ И ЭЛЬ-НИНЬО ЮЖНОЕ КОЛЕБАНИЕ НА ПРИМЕРЕ СЕВАСТОПОЛЯ

Main Article Content

Н. С. Мельникова
А. В. Холопцев
И. В. Николенко

Аннотация

Изучены особенности изменений за 1882-2019 гг. средней интенсивности атмосферных осадков, выпадавших в различные месяцы и сезоны года в Крыму, основываясь на результатах наблюдений за этим процессом на репрезентативной Морской Гидрометеорологической станции Севастополь. Выявлены его современные тенденции и значимые статистические связи с вариациями показателей Эль-Ниньо Южное Колебание, на отрезках времени различной продолжительности. Оценена устойчивость упомянутых характеристик к сдвигам по времени этих отрезков.

Article Details

Как цитировать
[1]
Мельникова Н.С. АТМОСФЕРНЫЕ ОСАДКИ В КРЫМУ И ЭЛЬ-НИНЬО ЮЖНОЕ КОЛЕБАНИЕ НА ПРИМЕРЕ СЕВАСТОПОЛЯ [Электронный ресурс]/ Н.С. Мельникова, А.В. Холопцев, И.В. Николенко // Строительство и техногенная безопасность. — 2020. — № 19(71). — c.105-118. — Режим доступа:https://stroyjurnal-asa.ru/index.php/asa/article/view/99 (2 мар. 2021)
Выпуск
Раздел
Экологическая безопасность

Библиографические ссылки

Aivazian S.A., Mhitarian V.S. Prikladnaja statistika i osnovyj ekonometriki (Applied Statistics and Econometrics fundamentals), Moscow, YUNITY, 1998, 1022 р. (In Russ.).

Voskresensky E.N., Polonsky A.B. North Atlantic Oscillation and El Niño. Morskoy gidrophizichesky jurnal, 1992, no 4, pp. 23-30 (in Russ.).

Gruza G.V. Rankova E.J., Kleschenko L.K., Sokolihina E.V., Sokolihina N.N. On the relationship between climate anomalies in Russia with El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Meteorologija i gidrologija, 1999, no 5, pp. 32-51 (in Russ.).

Hydrometeorology and hydrochemistry of the seas of the USSR. Volume 4. The black sea. Issue 1. Hydrometeorological conditions / ed. Altman E. N., Simonova A. I. Hydrometeoizdat, Saint Petersburg, 1991, Volume 4, Issue 1, 429 p.

Guckenheimer J., Holmes F. Nonlinear oscillations, dynamical systems, and bifurcations of vector fields. - M: State publishing house of physical and mathematical literature, 2002. - 560 p.

Jeleznova I.V., Guschina D.J. The response of the global atmospheric circulation in the two types of El Niño. Meteorologija i gidrologija, 2015, no 3, pp. 36-50 (in Russ.).

Zaks Sh. Teorija statisticheskih vivodov (The theory of statistical inference). John Wiley & Sons Inc., 1971. 626 p.

Kononova N.K. Klassifikacija cirkuljacionnyh mehanizmov Severnogo polusharija po B.L. Dzerdzeevskomu (Classification circulation mechanisms of the Northern Hemisphere according to BL Dzerdzeevskii). Ed. А.B. Shmakin; Moscow: IG RAS, Voentehinizdat, 2009, 372 p. (in Russ.).

Kramer G. Matematicheskie metody statistiki (Mathematical Methods of Statistics). Moscow. Mir. 1975. 648 p. (in Russ.).

Mokhov I.I., Akbarov M.G., Prokofieva M.A. Blockings in the Northern Hemisphere and the Euro-Atlantic region: assessment of changes from reanalysis data and model calculations. Doklady Rossijskoj Akademii nauk, 2013, vol. 449 no 5, pp. 1-5 (in Russ.).

Mokhov I.I., Smirnov D.A. Study of mutual influence processes of the

El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations of Nonlinear methods. Doklady Rossijskoj Akademii nauk, 2006, vol. 42, pp. 650–667 (in Russ.).

Mokhov I.I., Timazjev A.V. Climatic anomalies in the regions of Eurasia: the effects of El Niño / La Niña. Doklady Rossijskoj Akademii nauk, 2013, vol. 453, no 2, pp. 211-214 (in Russ.).

Nastavlenie po sluzhbe prognozov. Razdel 3, chast'. III. Sluzhba morskih gidrologicheskih prognozov (Manual on the Service forecasts. Step 3, part. III. Service Marine hydrological forecasts). Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat, 1982, 143 p. (in Russ.).

Nesterov E.S. The variability of the characteristics of the atmosphere and ocean in the Atlantic-European region during the events of El Niño and La Niña. Meteorologija i gidrologija, 2000, no 8, pp. 74-83 (in Russ).

Petrosjanc M.A., Semenov E.K., Guschina D.U. Sokolihina E.V. Sokolihina N.N. Cirkuljacija atmosfery v tropikah: klimat i izmenchivost The circulation of the atmosphere in the tropics: the climate and variability. Moscow: Max Press. 2005, 670 p (in Russ.).

Petrosjanc M.A., Guschina D.U. The Large-scale interaction of the global circulation of the atmosphere with the surface temperature of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Meteorologija i gidrologija, 1998, no 12, pp. 5-22 (in Russ.).

Polonsky A.B. Rol okeana v izmenenijah klimata (The ocean's role in climate change). Naukova Dumka. Kiev. 2008, 184 p. (in Russ.).

Shakina N.P., Ivanova A.R. Blocking anticyclones: the current state of research and forecasting. Meteorologija i gidrologija, 2010, no 11, pp. 5-18 (in Russ.).

Bjerknes J. A possible response of the atmospheric Hadley circulation to equatorial anomalies of Ocean temperature. Tellus, 1966, vol. 18, no 4, pp. 820-829.

Bjerknes J. Atmospheric teleconnections from the equatorial Pacific. Mon.Wea. Rev., 1966, vol. 97, pp. 163-172.

Held I.M.S., Lyons S.W. and Nigam S. Transients and the extratropical response to El Nino. J. Atmos. Sci., 1989, vol. 46, pp. 163-174.

Horel. J.D., Wallace J. M. Planetary-scale atmospheric phenomena associated with the Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev. 1981, vol. 109, pp. 813-829.

Lau N.-C. Modeling the seasonal dependence of the atmospheric response to observed El- Ninos in 1962-76. Mon.Wea.Rev., 1985, vol.113, pp. 1970-1996.

Trenberth K. E. and Stepaniak D. P. Indices of El Nino evolution. J. Clim. 2001, vol.14, pp. 1601-1624.

Walker, G.T. Correlation in seasonal variations of weather, VIII. A preliminary study of world weather. Memoirs of the India Meteorological Department, 1923, vol. 24, no 4, pp. 75-131.

Walker, G.T. Correlation in seasonal variations of weather, IX. A further study of world weather. Memoirs of the India Meteorological Department, vol. 24, no 9, pp. 275-333.

Wolter K., Timlin M.S. El-Nino/Southern Oscillation behavior since 1871 as diagnosed in an extended multivariate ENSO index (MEI.ext). Intl. J. Climatology, 2011. 31. P. 1074-1087.

NOAA database on the values of global climatic indices. [Electronic resource]. URL: http: //www.esrl.noaa.gov/data/climateindices/list/forinfo